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	<title>J.C. Moore Online &#187; Education</title>
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	<description>Current events from a science perspective.</description>
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		<title>Bits and Pieces 12 : Should We Tax Unhealthy Foods?</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2011/10/03/bits-and-pieces-12-should-we-tax-unhealthy-foods/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2011/10/03/bits-and-pieces-12-should-we-tax-unhealthy-foods/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Oct 2011 15:34:30 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Bits and Pieces]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Denmark's fat tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr. Oz's 100 healthy foods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Harvard's nutrition source]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hungary's hamburger law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jakob Nielsen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[life expectancy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obesity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saturated fats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[soft drinks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tobacco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unhealthy foods]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jcmooreonline.com/?p=1084</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Would people be more likely to avoid unhealthy foods if they received a tax incentive to do so? A few countries think so, and have enacted laws to increase taxes on fat, sweet and salty foods. The outgoing conservative Danish government has passed a “ fat tax” on foods high in saturated fats. Hungary has [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Would people be more likely to avoid unhealthy foods if they received a tax incentive to do so? A few countries think so, and have enacted laws to increase taxes on fat, sweet and salty foods. The outgoing conservative Danish government has passed a “ <a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/denmark-imposes-fat-tax-on-food-to-curb-obesity-2364715.html">fat tax</a>” on foods high in saturated fats. Hungary has also introduced a new tax popularly known as the &#8220;Hamburger Law&#8221; that involves higher taxes on soft drink, pastries, salty snacks and food flavorings.  </p>
<p>Denmark now has a life expectancy much lower than other surrounding countries. “Higher fees on sugar, fat and tobacco is an important step on the way toward a higher average life expectancy in Denmark,&#8221; health minister Jakob Axel Nielsen said, because &#8220;saturated fats can cause cardiovascular disease and cancer.&#8221;  The “fat tax” would help curb the country’s obesity problem and estimates are that it will increase the average life expectancy of Danes by three years over the next 10 years.</p>
<p> Denmark’s and Hungary’s efforts to tax unhealthy foods might not be such a bad idea. While it seems that many people will not act to protect their own health, they might be a little more likely to eat healthy foods if they receive a financial incentive to do so. I doubt that the United States would ever have the political will to raise taxes on unhealthy food. We will just wait and pay the health costs. However, perhaps we could do it by lowering taxes.</p>
<p>Since many state legislatures have exhibited a passion for cutting taxes, they could encourage people to live longer and lead healthier lives by removing the sales tax on healthy foods. There are a number of resources such as Harvard’s <a href="http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/what-should-you-eat/pyramid/">Nutrition Source</a>  that could provide the information that would be necessary to do that. Even without the financial incentive, it would be a good idea for everyone to become familiar with Nutrition Source, or even <a href="http://www.doctoroz.com/videos/100-foods-dr-oz-wants-your-shopping-cart" target="_blank">Dr. Oz&#8217;s list </a>of 100 healthy foods.</p>
<p>(c) 2011 J.C. Moore</p>
<p>Research Credit: Barbara Moore</p>
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		<title>Bits and Pieces 9: The Arctic Ice and the Inuit</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2011/08/22/bits-and-pieces-9-the-arctic-ice-and-the-inuit/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2011/08/22/bits-and-pieces-9-the-arctic-ice-and-the-inuit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Aug 2011 16:55:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bits and Pieces]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arctic ocean]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[greenland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inuit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASA Polar Sea Ice Photos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[native-people]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil-drilling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Polar Bears]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Polar ice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sea-ice]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jcmooreonline.com/?p=969</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pictures of the polar region from 1979 and 2003 clearly show that about 30% of the Arctic ice has melted. This has greatly affected the way of life of the native Inuit who live and hunt on the Polar Ice.  While some may adapt, their way of life and culture, which sustained them for centuries, will be destroyed.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&#8220;Pictures of the polar region from 1979 and 2003 clearly show that about 30% of the Arctic  ice has melted. This has greatly affected the way of life of the native Inuit who live and hunt o<a href="http://jcmooreonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/Arctic-1.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-973" style="margin: 5px; border: black 5px solid;" title="Arctic" src="http://jcmooreonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/Arctic-1-250x300.jpg" alt="" width="296" height="334" /></a>n the Polar ice.  While some may adapt, their way of life and culture, which sustained them for centuries, will be destroyed.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>Although arguments still rage about whether the Arctic sea ice is disappearing, the disappearance is a fact of life for those who live near the Arctic Ocean.   The <a href="http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/goto?2926" target="_blank">photos</a> clearly show that the Arctic Sea ice is disappearing. A recent TulsaWorld<a href="http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=13&amp;articleid=20110821_46_A20_CUTLIN156747&amp;allcom=1" target="_blank"> article </a>described how the disappearance of the Arctic sea ice has affected the lives of the native Inuit people in Greenland. Ice which used to be 2 meters thick in the winter, now grows only a few centimeters thick, far too thin to allow dogsleds to go to the nearest town, 50 miles away across the bay. They can no longer venture onto the ice to hunt for seals or walrus, a mainstay of their diet,  nor can they go out on the ice to fish. The Polar bears they sometimes hunt have no fat, as the bears cannot swim to the ice packs to hunt, and they sometimes prowl the villages looking for food.</p>
<p>Drilling for oil has picked up in the area as the ices disappears, but so far little oil has been found. Exploration continues, and if oil is eventually found, it carries the possibility of  economic development. But it also carries  the possibility that an oil spill, almost impossible to clean up in the icy  environment, would destroy much of the ocean life the natives now depend on for food. The sad thing is that they are being forced to change a way of life that sustained them for centuries. While some may adapt, their way of life and culture will be destroyed, and many will likely end up among the poor and unemployed.</p>
<p>(c) 2011 J.C. Moore</p>
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		<title>Science, Global Warming, and the Ice Age Mystery</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/12/31/science-global-warming-and-the-ice-age-mystery/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/12/31/science-global-warming-and-the-ice-age-mystery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Jan 2011 01:17:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CO2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[G.N. Plass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greenhouse Effect]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[H2O vapor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ice cores]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ice-ages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. T. Kiehl]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J.T. Keihl]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keeling Curve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milankovitch Cycles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[particulates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[solar radiation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jcmooreonline.com/?p=647</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the early 1800's, scientists began a search for the cause of the ice ages. That search has led to a discovery of the factors that affect the Earth's temperature, an understanding of the current global warming, and the solution to the mystery of the ice ages. ]]></description>
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<p>In the early 1800&#8242;s, scientists began a search for the cause of the ice ages. That search has led to a discovery of the factors that affect the Earth&#8217;s temperature, an understanding of the current global warming, and the solution to the mystery of the ice ages. *</p>
<p><strong>The Data:</strong> Science is a way of understanding nature by using observation and reason. Man has always been keenly interested in the weather, but temperature records before 1850 were mostly historical accounts of storms, heat waves, or when bodies of water froze. Thermometers came into use in about 1850, allowing more accurate temperature records. One of the most useful records is <a href="http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2010november/fig2.gif">NASA&#8217;s graph</a> of the Earth&#8217;s annual mean temperature, which was compiled from ships logs, weather stations, and satellite measurements. It serves as a scorecard for telling whether the Earth is getting warmer or cooler. NASA&#8217;s data has small random variations from year to year because of factors such as sunspots, weather events, ocean currents, and particulates from volcanic eruptions. However, NASA&#8217;s graph shows that the Earth&#8217;s temperature has clearly trended upward since 1880 &#8211; with the exception of a curious plateau from 1945 to 1975 followed by a steeper rise in temperature. The Earth&#8217;s mean temperature is now 1.3 F higher than in 1880, and the last decade has been the hottest on record. Any theories or causes put forward to explain the global warming trend must be consistent with the temperature observations.</p>
<p><strong>Possible Causes: </strong>Nineteenth century scientists realized from geological evidence that the Earth had gone through many ice ages that alternated with ages of warmer climate. Much of the early research on global warming was a search for the cause of the ice ages. Scientists found that many small variables cause the Earth to warm and cool, but the main three causes are the Sun, particulates, and greenhouse gases.</p>
<p><strong>The Sun&#8217;s</strong> output seems to have been reasonably stable over the last several million years. Satellite measurements over the last 30 years have shown that while solar radiation has declined ever so slightly during that time, the Earth continued to warm &#8211; so clearly changes in the Sun&#8217;s output is not the cause of the recent warming. The amount of sunlight the Earth receives does, however, depend on <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles">the Milankovitch Cycles</a>. These cycles are small variations in the eccentricity, axial tilt, and precession of the Earth&#8217;s orbit that cause the solar insolation, the amount of sunlight the Earth receives, to vary slightly in predictable cycles. <a href="http://www.climatedata.info/Forcing/Forcing/milankovitchcycles_files/BIGw02-milankovitch-and-temperature.gif.gif">Ice core data shows</a> that ice ages tend to occur in roughly 100,000-year cycles that match the timing of the Milankovitch cycles. The temperature between the ice ages and the warm periods, however, are much greater than would be caused by the changes in solar radiation alone. Though a clue to the cause of the ice ages, the Milankovitch Cycles are not the cause of the current warming. <a href="http://www.sciencemag.org/content/207/4434/943">They predict </a>a minor cooling trend, which began some 6,000 years ago, will continue for the next 23,000 years. The current warming trend is too rapid and in the wrong direction for the Milankovitch Cycles to be the cause.</p>
<p><strong>Particulates</strong> cause the Earth to cool by reflecting incoming sunlight back into space. The role of particulates in cooling the Earth became apparent in 1816 when ash from the explosive eruption of Mt.Tambora caused that year to be called &#8220;the year without a summer&#8221;, worldwide. The curious plateau in NASA&#8217;s temperature record from 1945 to 1975 was primarily caused by particulates from sources such as WW II, atmospheric nuclear testing, and increased industrialization. Research during the early 1970&#8242;s showed a huge increase in aerosol particulates from power production, factories, and vehicles &#8211; and <a href="http://jcmooreonline.com/2009/10/26/185/" target="_blank">some alarmists even speculated</a> that we might cause another ice age. Particulates are visible and cause immediate health problems, so by 1980 most industrialized countries had restrictions on particulate emissions. Particulates cannot be the cause of global warming, but reducing their sources can cause the temperature to rise as can be seen in the temperature record after 1980.</p>
<p><strong>The Greenhouse Effect </strong>was discovered in the early1800&#8242;s when scientists realized that the Earth was kept warm at night because the atmosphere trapped invisible heat rays rising from the surface. Around 1860, John Tyndall identified the invisible rays as infrared radiation and found the main gases that trapped the heat rays to be water vapor and CO2. The amount of water in the air remains relatively constant because of the water cycle. When the humidity is low, water evaporates, and when the humidity gets too high, it rains. However, CO2 has no such restrictions. Since CO2 makes up only a few hundredths of a percent of the air, it was at first dismissed as a possible cause of warming, especially since it was thought that plants and the oceans would absorb any excess.</p>
<p>In 1896, Svante Arrhenius, while still pursuing the idea that variations in CO2 might be the cause of the ice ages, laboriously calculated the effect of cutting the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by half. He found that doing so would lower the temperature of Europe by 4-5 C, perhaps enough to bring on an ice age. He also found that doubling the amount of CO2 might raise the temperature of the atmosphere by 6-7 C. No one was concerned as Arrhenius&#8217; model of the atmosphere was very crude and it was inconceivable that the amount of CO2 in the air could ever double. Some scientists speculated that man should intentionally add more CO2 to the air to ward off another ice age.</p>
<p>As models of the atmosphere improved, a number of scientists tried to get a better estimate of the effect of doubling the amount of CO2 on the Earth&#8217;s temperature, but the increasing complexity of the models made the calculations daunting. A breakthrough came with the development of computers. In 1956, <a href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/co2.htm#M_25_">G.N. Plass calculated</a> that doubling the concentration of CO2 in the air would cause a 3 to 4 C increase in the Earth&#8217;s temperature. ** Many dismissed his work, as it seemed impossible that CO2, which made up only 0.03% of the air, could have such a large effect on temperature. However, in 1997, <a href="http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0477%281997%29078%3C0197:EAGMEB%3E2.0.CO;2" target="_blank">J.T. Kiehl found</a> that, under clear sky conditions, CO2 accounted for 26% of the greenhouse effect &#8211; with water vapor accounting for most of the rest. More <a href="http://www.sciencemag.org/content/330/6002/356.abstract">recent research</a> has confirmed their work . Clearly, CO2 could have a significant effect on the Earth&#8217;s temperature if it was increasing. But was it?</p>
<p><strong>CO2:</strong> In 1900, Arvid Hgbom calculated the amount of CO2 emitted by industrial sources and, surprisingly, found that man was adding CO2 to the atmosphere at roughly the same rate as volcanoes. No one thought much of it as, at that rate, it would take centuries for the amount of CO2 to increase significantly. However, after a protracted heat wave during the 1930&#8242;s, Guy Callendar re-examined previous temperature and CO2 measurements and found not only that the Earth was getting warmer, but also that atmospheric CO2 concentrations were increasing rapidly. Callendar&#8217;s work was mostly ignored, but a few scientists began monitoring the concentration of CO2 more closely. Their results were sporadic but, by 1958, Charles Keeling had established accurate procedures for measuring atmospheric CO2. His lab was eventually moved to the Mauna Loa observatory, far away from most CO2 sources. His graph showing how CO2 varies with time, now called the <a href="http://susty.com/image/keeling-curve-carbon-dioxide-parts-per-million-co2-summer-uptake-by-trees-plants-soils-graph-red-line-illustration-image.jpg">Keeling curve</a>, proved to be an important piece of evidence. It showed that the oceans and plants were not taking up CO2 nearly as fast as man was producing it. Over the last century, the atmospheric CO2 concentration has risen from 280 parts per million (ppm) to 385 ppm, a 38% increase, and the Earth&#8217;s temperature has risen by 0.8 0C, well in line with Plass&#8217; prediction. The role of CO2 as the major cause of global warming had been convincingly established. There is yet one more piece of evidence that confirms that conclusion.</p>
<p><strong>Ice Ages: </strong>It was now possible to solve the mystery of the ice ages. The Milankovitch cycles alone cannot explain the changes in the Earth&#8217;s temperature during the cycles, but the process becomes clear if CO2 is included. The <a href="http://www.daviesand.com/Choices/Precautionary_Planning/New_Data/IceCores1.gif">ice core data </a>shows that the concentration of CO2 falls to about 180 ppm during an ice age and rises to about 280 ppm during the warm part of the cycle. The changing CO2 concentration happens because the solubility of CO2 in water varies with temperature. In the part of the cycle where the Earth is warmed by the increasing solar radiation, the oceans release CO2, which further amplifies the warming by the greenhouse effect. In the part of the cycle where the solar energy decreases, the oceans cool, the CO2 dissolves again, and another ice age begins. The concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is the &#8220;control knob&#8221; for the Earth&#8217;s temperature &#8211; and we have now turned the knob up to 380 ppm and are moving it even higher. The Earth will surely get warmer.</p>
<p>* Much of the historical data came from <a href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/co2.htm">this excellent AIP article</a>.</p>
<p> **  <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/12/111206082754.htm" target="_blank">Recent research </a>in the Journal of Climate, covering the last five ice ages, has experimentally confirmed Plass&#8217; estimate of the climate sensitivity.</p>
<p>(C) 2010 J.C. Moore</p>
</div>
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		<title>Aristotle&#8217;s Contribution to Science, Education, and Physics</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/12/28/aristotles-enduring-contribution-to-science-education-and-physics/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/12/28/aristotles-enduring-contribution-to-science-education-and-physics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Dec 2010 03:00:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science and religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aether]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aristotle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[causality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[falling bodies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Galileo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heliocentric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[observation and reason]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Physics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scientific Method]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Universe]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jcmooreonline.com/?p=631</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Aristotle thought that Nature could best be understood by observation and reason and that all  knowledge should be open to examination and subject to reason. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Aristotle thought that Nature could best be understood by observation and reason &#8211; and that all   knowledge should be open to examination and  subject to reason.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Science Education</strong> has shown a renewed interest in Aristotle&#8217;s works. (1) Today, theories in science are often based on abstract and mathematical models of the world.  Students sometimes use the theories and equations without understanding how they were developed, their limitations, or even what problems they address. The development of an idea from Aristotle to the present would make physics more interesting and understandable. (2)  Aristotle’s works are reconstructions from fragmentary notes. He had the most rudimentary of scientific equipment, his measurements were not quantitative; and he considered only things that were observable with the eye. Ignoring these limitations has caused some to distort the significance of his work, sometimes to the point of considering Aristotle an impediment to the advancement of science. However, we should not project the framework of contemporary science on Aristotle’s work &#8211; but we should read his works and examine his Natural Philosophy in the context of his times. (3)</p>
<p><strong>Scientific Method:</strong> In ancient times, events in Nature had been explained as the actions of the gods. The early Greek philosophers  questioned the role of the gods as the cause of events and by the fifth century B.C. the Greek philosophers, such as Socrates, had separated philosophy from theology. But, if the gods were not the cause of events, what was? Philosophers advanced explanations based on philosophical principles and mathematical forms. Aristotle found that unsatisfactory. He decided the principles of nature could be found within nature and could be discovered using careful observation and inductive reasoning. Observations must be capable of being observed by the senses and should include the four causes: the composition, the shape (or form), the motion (or change), and the end result (or purpose). Identifying the four causes insured a thorough understanding of the event. Chance or spontaneity were not considered causes. He thought all things in Nature should be open to examination and subject to reason &#8211; and he set about applying his methods to all knowledge.</p>
<p>Aristotle founded a school in Athens at the Lyceum which provided the world&#8217;s first comprehensive study of human knowledge from the perspective of natural philosophy. His lectures followed a pattern that formed the basis of the scientific method. They included a statement of the idea or problem, the precise definition of terms, a statement of what he and other scholars thought about the matter, the observations, arguments based on how well the ideas agreed with observation, and finally what could be concluded. His lectures notes are important as they not only show clearly his reasoning but they preserve many of the ideas of his contemporaries. (4, 5)</p>
<p><strong>Physics:</strong> In his work,  <span style="text-decoration: underline;">Physics</span>, (6) Aristotle examined the nature of matter, space, time, and motion. He had few tools for experimentation and could not measure time or speeds. He would not allow invisible forces so his reasoning did not include gravity. Things fell to Earth and the moon circled the Earth because that was their nature. He proved that infinite linear motion and voids could not exist on Earth. Without those, he could not escape the complexities of the real world or fully understand inertia. In spite of his limitations, Aristotle made some remarkable contributions to physics and laid the groundwork for Galileo, Newton, and Einstein. He reasoned that infinite velocities could not exist, that time and movement are continuous and inseparable, and that time was even flowing, infinite, and the same everywhere at once. These are all true and a part of Einstein’s Theory of Relativity. Some consider that Aristotle’s greatest contribution to physics was his description of time.</p>
<p>Reading Aristotle reminds one of reading Einstein. He takes the simplest of observations and in it discovers fundamental truths. Force is a push or a pull. A horse can pull a cart and the cart pulls back on the horse and when the horse stops, the cart stops.  Rest, then is the natural state of matter and the mover is acted on by that which it moves. These ideas became part of Newton’s Laws. He observed that there was both static and kinetic friction that opposed motion by studying shiphaulers. A hundred men could pull a ship but one man could not. Furthermore, he observed that the power needed to keep the ship moving depended on the force required and the speed. That is like the definition of power used today and, incidentally, something that Newton got wrong.  Aristotle examined objects falling in fluids and realized friction existed there also. He found that the speed of objects increased as the weight of the object and decreased with the thickness of the fluid. This is now a part of  Stoke’s Law  for an object falling at its terminal velocity. He also considered what would happen if the fluid became thinner and thinner but rejected the conclusion as that would lead to a vacuum and an infinite speed, both which he considered impossibilities. Galileo allowed those impossibilities and is credited with discovering kinematics.</p>
<p><strong>Cosmology:</strong> We sometimes forget that Aristotle proved the Earth was a sphere. He observed that the shadow of the Earth on the moon during an eclipse was an arc. That was not conclusive as a disk might give the same shadow. The phases of the Moon and its appearance during eclipses show it to be a sphere and the Earth might be also. As one walks toward the horizon, the horizon falls away; and, as one walks North or South, different stars appear. These are as if one is looking out from a sphere. All things made of Earth fall to Earth in such a way as to be as near the Earth as possible. A sphere is the shape that allows this as it is the shape with the smallest surface for a given volume. All things considered, the Earth must be a sphere. Interestingly, an extension of that last argument is used today to explain the erosion of mountains, surface tension, the shape of droplets, and why the moons, planets, and stars are spheres.</p>
<p>Aristotle concluded that since all things fall toward the center of the Earth or move round the Earth, that the Earth must be the center of the Universe. The Moon and planets move around the Earth in circular orbits but must move in circles within circles to explain the variance observed in their orbits. The stars are fixed spheres that rotate around the Earth and the Universe must be finite else the stars at the outer edge would have to move at infinite speed. Aristotle was aware that if the heavenly bodies were made of matter, that they would fly off like a rock from a sling. He therefore added to the elements a fifth element, aether, to compose the heavenly bodies. Aether could not be observed on Earth but objects composed of it could move forever in circles without friction or flying away. (7) Perhaps Aristotle should have stopped with the moon, but the planets and stars were there and needed explaining. In spite of his model’s imperfections, Aristotle gave us a universe whose laws are invariant and capable of being discovered by observation and understood by reason. Aristotle’s model of the Universe lasted almost 20 centuries without significant modification and was so compelling that Renaissance philosophers and theologians built it into church doctrine.</p>
<p><strong>Scientific Revolution:</strong> However, Aristotle&#8217;s model did not fit well with new observations made by 15<sup>th</sup> century scientists. Copernicus realized that the planetary motions would be simpler and better explained if the Sun were the center of the universe. Tycho Brahe’s careful observations of planetary motions supported the Copernican model. Galileo used the first telescope to observe that Jupiter had moons that revolved around Jupiter and not the Earth. This was convincing evidence and Galileo championed a revision of Aristotle’s model. There was much resistance to the acceptance of the heliocentric model and Galileo was threatened with a charge of heresy for promoting the idea. Some people now consider Aristotle&#8217;s  ideas as an impediment to the advancement of science. However, the impediment was not Aristotle&#8217;s ideas &#8211; but that Aristotle&#8217;s model of the universe had become woven into the doctrine of the Church.</p>
<p>Galileo’s kinematics was also in conflict with Aristotle’s work. Galileo’s experiment with falling bodies is considered as one of the ten greatest experiments of all time. He showed that a small weight fell from the Tower  of Pisa at the same rate as one ten times as heavy. This was considered by some to be a triumph of Galileo’s kinematics over the simple empiricism of Aristotle. That was not, however, the whole story. Aristotle had not only examined objects falling in air but also in liquids. He found that the rate of fall in liquids increased as the weight of the object and decreased with the thickness of the fluid. This idea is consistent with Stoke’s Law  for an object falling at its terminal velocity in fluids. Aristotle even had considered the case of a fluid with no thickness (a vacuum), but rejected the possibility since the speed would become infinite. However, Galileo&#8217;s experiment was performed in air and, while correct in a vacuum, Galileo’s mechanics were not exactly correct in air. Had Galileo dropped his objects from a much greater height, he would have found that the heavy object would reach the ground half again as fast as the small object. This is observable in hailstones where a large stone will strike the ground at almost twice the speed of a small stone. Galileo’s mechanics are only valid in a vacuum and even then would allow the velocity to eventually become infinite, which conflicts with Einstein’s relativity.  No one has thought to criticize Galileo for that.</p>
<p><strong>Scientific Progress: </strong>Many thought, and still think, that Galileo’s work was the final overthrow of Aristotelian physics and the start of a revolution allowing science to advance. That is not the case. It is just the normal progress of science that models and theories are revised as better observations and understanding occur. The Revolution was not so much an overthrow of Aristotelian Physics as it was in moving from the observable to the imaginable &#8211; and in again separating science from theology and philosophy. It is ironic that Galileo was accused of heresy for questioning the theories of a man who thought everything should be open to question and reason.</p>
<p>(1)  ERIC. <a href="http://www.eric.ed.gov/">http://www.eric.ed.gov</a> A search of the database shows 78 papers in the last three decades are about the use of Aristotle’s ideas in teaching.</p>
<p>(2)  Stinner, A. (1994). The Story of Force: from Aristotle to Einstein. Phys. Educ., 29, 77-85.</p>
<p>(3)  Lombardi, O. (1999). Aristotelian Physics in the Contest of Teaching Science: A Historical-Philosophical  Approach. <em>Science and Education</em>, 8, 217-239.</p>
<p>(4)  Durant, Will. <em>The Story of Philosophy: The Lives and Opinions of the Great Philosophers of the Western  World. </em>5<sup>th</sup> ed. New York: Simon and Schuster, 1949</p>
<p>(5)  Ross, W. D. <em>Aristotle</em>. 5<sup>th</sup> ed. London: Methuen &amp; Co. LTD. 1949</p>
<pre>(6) Aristotle, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">Physics</span>. Translated by R. P. Hardie and R. K. Gaye.
Provided by The Internet Classics Archive. Available at</pre>
<pre>    <a title="physics" href="http://classics.mit.edu//Aristotle/physics.html" target="_blank">http://classics.mit.edu//Aristotle/physics.html</a></pre>
<pre>(7) Aristotle, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">On the Heavens</span>. Translated by J. L. Stocks.
Provided by The Internet Classics Archive. Available at
    <a title="Heavens" href="http://classics.mit.edu//Aristotle/heavens.html" target="_blank">http://classics.mit.edu//Aristotle/heavens.html</a>

Note: This article was originally written as the physical science
contribution to <em>Aristotle's</em> <em>Enduring Contribution to Biology,
Physics,and Poetics</em> by Surendra Singh, J.C. Moore, and Andrew Tadie.
It was published as <em>Aristotle on Teaching Science</em>  at the Seventh
International Conference on Teacher Education, New Delhi, India (2008)</pre>
<p>The full article is available <a href="http://jcmooreonline.com/aristotle-on-teaching-science/">here</a>.</p>
<p>(c) 2010 J.C. Moore</p>
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		<title>Science, Climate Change, and the Greenhouse Effect</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/12/13/science-climate-change-and-the-greenhouse-effect/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/12/13/science-climate-change-and-the-greenhouse-effect/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Dec 2010 17:14:59 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CO2]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[G.N. Plass]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The greenhouse effect is a well established scientific principle. Both the science and the data show that  global warming is caused by the increasing CO2 in the atmosphere.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="post-content">
<p>In the 1800&#8242;s, scientist began to understand the role greenhouse gases  had in keeping the Earth warm. The greenhouse effect is now a well established scientific principle. Both the science and the data show that  current global warming is caused by the increasing CO2 in the atmosphere.</p>
<p><strong>Greenhouse Effect:</strong> Most gardeners know how greenhouses work.  In the daytime, the sun’s radiation (visible and UV) comes in through the glass and warms the plants and soil.  The glass stops the heat radiation in the infrared (IR) region from passing back through and the greenhouse stays warm enough to keep the plants from freezing, even at night. The Earth works much the same way except greenhouse gases, primarily water and  carbon dioxide, play the role of the glass and trap some of the leaving IR radiation. Winter nights on Earth would be very cold without greenhouse gases.</p>
<p><strong>Earth&#8217;s Energy Balance:</strong> Of the Sun’s energy coming to Earth, 30% is reflected immediately back into space by particles in the air, by clouds, and by the surface. Another 20% is absorbed by the atmosphere where it runs the weather cycle. The remaining 50% heats the land and oceans. All the absorbed heat is eventually radiated back into space as infrared radiation. It’s a balanced energy budget, 100% in and 100% back out. Anything that reflects more light back into space, such as an increase in particulate matter in the air, would cause the Earth to cool. Anything that delays the energy’s trip back to space, such as an increase in greenhouse gases, would cause the Earth to warm. There are many small things that affect the Earth&#8217;s energy balance, but the main three are the Sun, particulates, and greenhouse gases.The ash from the explosive eruption of Mt.Tambora in 1816 caused that year to be called the year without a summer, worldwide.</p>
<p><strong>The Sun: </strong>Certainly a change in the Solar radiation the Earth receives would cause a change in  the Earth&#8217;s temperature. Small wobbles in the Earth’s orbit, the <a title="MC" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles" target="_blank">Milankovitch Cycles</a>, are variations in the eccentricity, axial tilt, and precession of the Earth’s orbit. They affect the amount of solar radiation the Earth receives in predictable cycles. Both scientists and skeptics agree that these cycles are responsible for the Ice Ages that occur in roughly 100,000-year intervals. In the part of the cycle where the Earth receives more solar radiation, the oceans slowly warm and release CO2. The CO2 further amplifies the warming by the greenhouse effect. As the Earth moves into the part of the cycle where it receives less solar radiation, the oceans slowly cool, the CO2 dissolves back into the oceans and another ice age starts. The patterns of wobble in the Earth’s orbit are predictable and t<a title="Future MC." href="http://www.sciencemag.org/content/207/4434/943" target="_blank">he model predicts</a> that a minor cooling trend, which began some 6,000 years ago, will continue for the next 23,000 years. The current warming trend is too rapid and in the wrong direction to be a part of the Milankovitch Cycles.</p>
<p>The Sun also has cycles where its output varies slightly such as  Sunspots activity. They cause the amount of solar radiation to vary in approximately 11-year cycles. However, the effects of Sunspots are so small that they do not show up above the other small variations in NASA’s temperature record.(see below). Long term variations in the Sun’s intensity are not responsible for the current warming. The <a href="http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-other-planets-solar-system.htm" target="_blank">graph of solar irradiance </a>from 1880 to the present in this article shows that the Sun’s intensity increased slightly from 1880 to 1960 and then has declined slightly since 1960.   <a title="Solar variations." href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/235402/global-warming/274834/Variations-in-solar-output" target="_blank">Satellite measurements of solar radiation show</a> also that the solar radiation reaching Earth has declined slightly over the last 30 years – yet the Earth still warmed.</p>
<p><strong>Temperature Data:</strong> The best temperature data we have clearly shows the Earth is getting warmer. NASA has compiled the <a title="NASA" href="http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2010november/fig2.gif" target="_blank">Earth’s average temperature</a> for each year since 1880 by using ships logs, weather stations, and satellite measurements. In the graph below , each square dot shows how far that year’s average temperature was above or below the 1970 value.  Although the data varies widely from year to year because of random factors such as sunspots, weather events, ocean current, and particulates from volcanoes and man&#8217;s activities,  the trend is clearly upward. The solid red and blue lines are  moving averages, which make the trend easier to follow.</p>
<p><img title="NASA" src="http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2010november/fig2.gif" alt="NASA's Temperature Data  Credit: NASA JPL GISS" width="698" height="256" /></p>
<p>Credit: NASA/JPL/MSSS</p>
<p><strong>Temperature Trend:</strong> The greenhouse effect links some of the causes of the temperature trend to man’s activities. The trend took a turn upward in about 1920. That was when the automobile, industrialization, and energy production began further increasing the carbon dioxide concentration in the air. The trend was flat from about 1945 to 1975 and  that can be attributed mostly to particulates. There was an increase in particulates after 1945 from many sources such as WW II, atmospheric nuclear testing, and increased industrialization. Research during the early 1970&#8242;s showed a huge increase in aerosols from power production, increased industrialization, and vehicles and some alarmists even speculated that we might be <a title="Coming ice age." href="../2009/10/26/185/" target="_blank">causing another ice age</a>.  Particulates are visible and cause immediate health problems so by 1980 most industrialized countries had restrictions on particulate release. During the period from1945 to 1975 the CO2 concentration had <a title="CO2" href="http://susty.com/image/keeling-curve-carbon-dioxide-parts-per-million-co2-summer-uptake-by-trees-plants-soils-graph-red-line-illustration-image.jpg" target="_blank">continued to rise</a> but its effect had been masked by the particulates. Reducing the particulates in the air allowed the full effect of the CO2 to be felt, causing the Earth&#8217;s temperature to begin to rise again. The effect of particulates and the reliability of the temperature record can clearly be seen in the graph above. In 1991, Mt. Pinaturbo erupted spewing about 10 cubic kilometers of ash into the air which caused an immediate 0.3 °C temperature drop  for the entire Earth, lasting until about 1995.</p>
<p><strong>Causality:</strong> Although the greenhouse effect is a well accepted principle, skeptics sometimes claim the <a title="CO2 and Temp" href="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2008/01/co2-temp-sm.jpg" target="_blank">correlation between global warming and CO2</a> does not constitute causality. However, <a title="Plass." href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/co2.htm#M_25_" target="_blank">G.N. Plass</a>, in 1956, calculated the climate sensitivity of the Earth to CO2. He found that doubling the concentration of CO2 in the air would cause a 3 to 4 °C increase in the Earth’s temperature. A number of <a title="Control knob." href="http://www.sciencemag.org/content/330/6002/356.abstract" target="_blank">more recent studies</a> have confirmed his work and have shown that, though the concentration of CO2 in the air is small, it accounts for about 25% of the greenhouse effect. No <a title="Naturally Occurring.n" href="http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/11/12/is-global-warming-naturally-occurring/" target="_blank">natural occurrences</a> such as volcanoes, sunspots, fires, or dust storms can account for the major trend in the data. Certainly, the <a title="CO2" href="http://susty.com/image/keeling-curve-carbon-dioxide-parts-per-million-co2-summer-uptake-by-trees-plants-soils-graph-red-line-illustration-image.jpg" target="_blank">increasing amount of CO2 </a>in the air is causing the Earth to warm.</p>
<p><strong>Man&#8217;s Role</strong>: Man&#8217;s activities, mainly through deforestation and burning fossil fuels, have released large amounts of CO2 into the air. In the last century, man&#8217;s emission of CO2 from fossil fuels have increased to over 30 billion tons annually and the concentration of CO2 in the air has risen from 280 parts per million (ppm) to 385 ppm. The processes that remove carbon dioxide from the air takes decades or longer so as the carbon dioxide concentration slowly built up, the Earth became a better greenhouse. The concentration of carbon dioxide in the air is now 38% higher than in 1880 and the Earth’s temperature is about 0.8°C (or 1.3 °F) higher. Clearly, man&#8217;s activities are mainly responsible for increasing the CO2 concentration in the air &#8211; and the increasing CO2 concentration is causing global warming.</p>
<p>(C) 2010 J.C. Moore</p>
<p>v  Share this.</p>
</div>
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		<title>Personal Styles, Learning Styles, and Politics</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/09/12/personal-styles-learning-styles-and-politics/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/09/12/personal-styles-learning-styles-and-politics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Sep 2010 17:56:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[abstract/random (AR)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[abstract/sequential (AS)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alexander Gregorc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[concrete/random (CR)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[concrete/sequential (CS)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[floatingneutrinos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Learning Styles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liberal and conservative]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal Styles]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jcmooreonline.com/?p=483</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Personal styles, or learning styles, reveal something about how we learn, think, and relate to the world. They may also reflect our political views., and ey also affect our ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Personal styles reveal something about how we learn, think, and relate to the world.</p></blockquote>
<p>Not long ago, National Public Radio reported that 29% of the US population was considered to be on the left politically. That is interesting as about 28% of the population is abstract /random, a description that is related to “personal style”. The study of personal styles usually includes thinking styles and learning styles. The studies are designed to improve education, self-awareness, relationships, mental health, and productivity. There seems to be little research available on whether personal styles are related to political views, but the possibility is interesting. Personal styles reveal something about how we learn, think, and relate to the world. Knowing a little about personal styles is a useful thing.</p>
<p><strong>“Personal style”</strong> is a description of how we receive, store, and use information.  A simple, but useful, model for personal style was developed by Alexander Gregorc. (1) His model uses two perceptual qualities, &#8220;abstract&#8221; and &#8220;concrete&#8221;, and two organizational methods, &#8220;sequential&#8221; and &#8220;random&#8221;  (or &#8220;nonlinear&#8221; ) . Gregorc couples these to form four possible style categories: concrete/sequential (CS), abstract/sequential (AS), abstract/random (AR), and concrete/random (CR). Although everyone has all four qualities, most people are predisposed toward one or two of them. A survey found that about 51% of the population prefers CS, 28% AR, 13 % CR, and 8% prefer AS. These refer to a person’s dominant style. It is important to remember that everyone has some of each style and there is no “best style”. Still, personal styles can be fun and enlightening to investigate.</p>
<p><strong>What&#8217;s Your  Style?</strong> A person’s dominate style can be related to preferred occupations, satisfying hobbies, and even things they might find difficult. An extensive description of all four styles is available at this link (2).  A simple, 15-question test can determine approximately a person’s style. It takes about 10 minutes and is at this link if you are interested. (3) Please note that these are very approximate categories that may change with time and that they may be situational. A person may prefer one style at work and another for leisure, such as a surgeon who is CS at work may much prefer AR type activities for hobbies.</p>
<p><strong>Learning Styles:</strong> Although personal styles change with maturation, it is useful to consider that a student has a preferred learning style. Students with a CS style tend to prefer programmed instruction, workbooks, lab manuals, field trips, and applications while students with an AS style tend to prefer lectures, books, syllabi, and guided individual study. Students with a CR learning style prefer independent study, games, simulations, and problem solving, and students with an AR style usually prefer television, movies, assignments with reflection time, and group discussions. (2) There have been some efforts made to match teaching styles to student’s learning styles but it is impractical except in the largest of schools. Teachers are encouraged to be aware of the different learning styles and to use a variety of methods directed to each style. There is much more to know about personal learning styles and a good reference for that is Thelearningweb. (4)</p>
<p><strong> Political Styles:</strong> Perhaps political discourse could be improved by a knowledge of personal styles. The most polarizing divide in politics lately had been between Conservatives and Liberals. A 2009 Gallup Poll survey found that 40% of Americans describe their political views as conservative, 35% as moderate, and 21% as liberal. (5) That’s not quite the same as the breakdown in the personal styles categories, but the similarity is interesting. From considering personal styles, we know that CS and AR dominant people perceive and organize information differently, that everyone has some of each style, and  that personal styles vary with the situation and maturation.  Rather than there being a big Liberal/Conservative divide, perhaps issues could be considered a personal style difference. Then, rather than calling each other elitists and ignoramuses, we could just say “That is certainly an abstract/random approach to the problem.” or “My, aren’t we being concrete/sequential today?”</p>
<p>(1) <a href="http://gregorc.com/gregorc.html">http://gregorc.com/gregorc.html</a></p>
<p>(2) <a href="http://www.floatingneutrinos.com/Message/arcs/links_on_abstractrandom.htm">http://www.floatingneutrinos.com/Message/arcs/links_on_abstractrandom.htm</a></p>
<p>(3)  <a href="http://www.thelearningweb.net/personalthink.html" target="_blank">http://www.thelearningweb.net/personalthink.html</a></p>
<p>(4) <a href="http://www.thelearningweb.net/learningstyles.html">http://www.thelearningweb.net/learningstyles.html</a></p>
<p>(5) <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/120857/conservatives-single-largest-ideological-group.aspx">http://www.gallup.com/poll/120857/conservatives-single-largest-ideological-group.aspx</a></p>
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		<title>Science Literacy and Religious Beliefs</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/08/11/science-literacy-and-religion-beliefs/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/08/11/science-literacy-and-religion-beliefs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Aug 2010 20:11:56 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science and religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aristotle]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Scientific literacy cannot be measured by a litmus test such as belief in the BIg Bang or evolution theory. Doing so confuses knowledge with the persons beliefs. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Scientific literacy cannot be measured by a litmus test such as belief in the Big Bang or evolution.</p></blockquote>
<p>Every two years the National Science Foundation produces a report, <em>Science and Engineering Indicators</em>, which surveys the public’s attitudes toward science. (1) The report found for instance, that the public’s opinion of scientists ranks at the top of 23 other occupations and there is broad support for public funding of science research.  In spite of that, Dr. Lawrence Krauss, is unhappy because a section of the 2010 report about the public&#8217;s  science literacy was omitted.</p>
<p>In a Scientific American article, he responds:</p>
<blockquote><p>“And every two years we relearn the sad fact that U.S. adults are less willing to accept evolution and the big bang as factual than adults in other industrial countries. Except for this time. Was there suddenly a quantum leap in U.S. science literacy? Sadly, no. Rather the National Science Board, which oversees the foundation, chose to leave the section that discussed these issues out of the 2010 edition, claiming the questions were ‘flawed indicators of scientific knowledge because responses conflated knowledge and beliefs.’ In short, if their religious beliefs require respondents to discard scientific facts, the board doesn’t think it appropriate to expose that truth.”</p></blockquote>
<p>However, the National Science Board was right that the section  confused  knowledge and beliefs. For example, there is evidence for the Big Bang  theory and many people know about it, but they have not incorporated it  into their beliefs.  Only physicists and mathematicians would likely  know what a singularity is, let alone believe the universe arose from  one. Then, there is the problem of how the singularity came to be. Likewise,  many people know of the adaptation of species to their environment such  as resistance of viruses and bacteria to antibiotics and of insects to  DDT. They may also be aware of our ancestors such as Luci and Ardi and  know of the evolution of the horse. However, if you insist that the  spontaneous generation of life is part of evolution, it may be rejected.</p>
<p>Dr Krauss is missing something important.  Aristotle established science as a method for understanding nature by using observation and reason. It is not a body of facts to be memorized and believed. As scientists gather more evidence, what we now regard as fact may be replaced with better ideas. We should not make “accepting evolution and the big bang as factual” a litmus test for science literacy. Just as scientists think religion should not be dogmatic, scientists should also refrain from dogmatism. Insisting people accept scientific theories which conflict with their religious beliefs  just makes them more likely to mistrust science on issues where it really matters.</p>
<p>As a practical matter, it is not likely that someone&#8217;s mind can be changed by claiming their beliefs are wrong or that they are based on mythology. Science teachers must deal with students who already have a belief system established. Their strategy should be to present science as a method that uses observation and reason to understand the physical world. Teachers must focus on the background knowledge and the evidence, and hope that at some point the student would see any conflicts and try to resolve them.</p>
<p>1)http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind10/c7/c7h.htm</p>
<p>2) http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=faith-and-foolishness</p>
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		<title>Bits and Pieces</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/07/16/bits-and-pieces/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/07/16/bits-and-pieces/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jul 2010 14:02:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[This article contains short comments on issues related to climate science such as peer review, ocean acidification ... ]]></description>
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<p>This article contains bits and pieces, usually short comments on recent science  articles and issues. Other bits and pieces will be added with the newest at the top.</p>
<p><strong>The High Cost of Doing Nothing: </strong>A  report by the National Academy of Sciences details the high economic cost of inaction on environmental legislation <a class="wp-oembed" title="(2)" href="http://www.denverpost.com/headlines/ci_15536630" target="_blank"><span class="wp-oembed">(2)</span></a>. It&#8217;s relatively easy to figure the cost of regulations to protect the  environment, but relatively hard to keep from inflating the cost for political purposes.  As a Republican, I am a little ashamed that Republicans  have adopted the grossly inflated annual figure of $3200 per  household. That is useful for sticker shock and propaganda, but totally  inaccurate. The CBO has estimated that it would cost around $300 and that there  would be added savings that would reduce the deficit.</p>
<p>The cost of regulations  should  be compared to the cost of doing  nothing. Estimates by the World&#8217;s top economists such as Britain&#8217;s  Nicholas Stern or the US&#8217;s Paul Krugman are that right now it  would cost about 2% of the worlds GDP to mitigate environmental damage  &#8211; but if delayed, that amount could rise to 20% or more. That also doesn&#8217;t take  into account intangibles such as clean air,  clean water, and a more sustainable economy.</p>
<p><strong>Ocean Acidification is Serious: </strong>Since preindustrial times, the concentration of CO2 in the air has risen from 280 ppm to 385 ppm, a 38% increase.   As the amount of CO2 in the air increases, the amount that  dissolves in the ocean increases proportionately.  When the CO2 dissolves in seawater, it makes it more acidic, just as  adding CO2 to soda makes it acidic. The pH of sea water has  been measured to be  more acidic by 0.1 pH unit than a century ago. Since the  pH scale  is logarithmic, the decrease of 0.1 unit means the oceans are now over 20% more acidic than a century ago and the cause is most certainly CO2.</p>
<p>To put that in perspective, human blood has a  carbonate buffer system similar to that of the oceans.  Normal blood pH is from 7.45 to 7.35 , and a blood pH less than 7.1 would require emergency treatment. Increasing the carbon dioxide in the blood by 38% will decreased the blood pH to about 7.25, not critical, but surely a sign that something is wrong. If the oceans get much more acidic, the coral, the fisheries, the  shellfish, and the oxygen-producing plankton that give life to the  oceans are threatened.</p>
<p><strong>Complaints about the &#8220;scientific secrecy&#8221; are disingenuous:</strong> There is very little secrecy in science.  Scientific papers are presented and openly debated at  meetings where anyone can attend. The peer reviewed papers include the  data, the results, and the reasoning and are available at public libraries  and many are now online. Also:</p>
<blockquote><p>Researchers are required to keep records of their  research so that any other scientist with comparable training and skills  could reproduce the research. The &#8220;reproducibility&#8221; of the research is  an important factor in the reviewer&#8217;s evaluation of the research. The  public has a right to information produced by publicly funded research  and that may be requested through the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA).  Usually a &#8220;Gatekeeper&#8221;, such as the project&#8217;s director, is designated  to handle FOIA requests. That Gatekeeper has a responsibility to see not  only that the public&#8217;s rights are upheld, but also to see that the FOIA  process is not abused and that the scientists are protected. <a class="wp-oembed" title="(1)" href="http://jcmooreonline.com/?p=353" target="_blank">(1)</a></p></blockquote>
<p>Only a few things are kept confidential to preserve the integrity of  the peer review process.  The main barriers preventing a better understanding of science by the  public is not &#8220;secrecy&#8221;, but poor science education, the lack of  responsible and informative reporting by the media, and an ongoing  campaign to spread misinformation by those who find the conclusions of  science inconvenient to their ideological or financial interests.</p>
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		<title>Peer Review, Science Data, and the Public&#8217;s Right to Know</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/07/13/peer-review-scienctific-data-and-the-publics-right-to-know/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/07/13/peer-review-scienctific-data-and-the-publics-right-to-know/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jul 2010 21:28:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The public has the right to information about publicly funded research through the FOIA. Some details of the peer review process are held as confidential to protect the integrity of the process. ]]></description>
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<p>Does  the public&#8217;s &#8220;right to know&#8221; extend to the peer review process and to  the scientist&#8217;s data?</p>
<p><strong>Peer review:</strong> Reputable scientific journals have a  peer review process to ensure that published papers are free of errors  in reasoning and methodology and that they report only the best  research. Upon submission of a paper, the editor of the journal removes  the name of the authors and sends it to expert researchers to be  reviewed. The names of the authors are kept confidential by the editor  to ensure that the author&#8217;s reputation, past personal differences, or  factors other than the quality of the work cannot affect the review. The  editor of the journal considers the reports of the reviewers and  decides whether the paper should be published or returned to the author  for corrections. Few papers receive outright rejection and the papers  returned for correction are usually returned with reviewers comments.</p>
<p>The names of the reviewers are kept confidential by the editor to  ensure that the author does not directly contact the reviewer to argue  or does not retaliate against a reviewer.  In a recent case, John  Christy was able to discover through the stolen CRU e-mails who reviewed  one of his papers and why the editor published it as he did. The paper  was controversial in nature and contained opinions not held by most  other climate scientists. The editor, in an attempt to present both  sides of the issue, published Christy&#8217;s paper alongside a paper that  presented the opposite view.  Using information to which he should not  have been entitled, Christy publicly attacked the reviewers, the editor,  the peer review process, and climate science in general. His actions  violated the integrity of the process and also the professional ethics  required of scientists as he released his opinions to the public before  the matter could be impartially investigated.</p>
<p><strong>The Public&#8217;s Rights: </strong>The claims that the names of the  reviewers and the editor&#8217;s reasons should be made public are  invalid. Scientific journals are funded by subscriptions and dues of  members and not publicly funded. The review process is set up as it is  to ensure the integrity of published science papers and &#8220;peer reviewed&#8221;  is the gold standard of quality in science information. The editor of  the journal has the right to choose the reviewers and decide what is  published just as the editor of a newspaper has the right to publish or  reject articles without divulging the reasons.</p>
<p><strong>Scientific Data:</strong> The public&#8217;s right to the data of  researchers is another matter. Researchers are required to keep records  of their research so that any other scientist with comparable training  and skills could reproduce the research. The &#8220;reproducibility&#8221; of the  research is an important factor in the reviewer&#8217;s evaluation of the  research. The public has a right to information produced by publicly  funded research and that may  be requested through the Freedom of  Information Act (FOIA). Usually a &#8220;Gatekeeper&#8221;, such as the project&#8217;s  director, is designated to handle FOIA requests. That Gatekeeper has a  responsibility to see not only that the public&#8217;s rights are upheld, but that the FOIA process is not abused and that the scientists  are protected.</p>
<p>Scientists are understandably reluctant to release their data &#8211; as  some who did release it later came to feel as if  gremlins had seized their work  and their lives. Some researchers have been harassed by numerous and  frivolous  requests for information  meant only to impede their work. That is particularly  true in climate science where there are apparently well-funded  gremlins, some of them ex-scientists*, at work. Worse, scientists have  been criticized publicly for reasonable practices that can be misconstrued. For example, good research requires the calibration of  equipment, yet that has been led to accusations  of &#8220;adjusting the data&#8221;. And, a  math &#8216;trick&#8221; used to simplify a computation, was mischaracterized as  &#8220;tricking the public&#8221;.</p>
<p>Even worse, when Phil Jones, the CRU director, released his raw data  for a 1990 research paper to a former London financial trader, Douglas  J. Keenan, Keenan combed through the data and then tried to have the FBI  arrest Jones&#8217; co-author for fraud. An investigation cleared the  researchers of any wrongdoing but it took a toll on their time and work. Incidents like that have  a chilling effect on the willingness of  scientists to release their data. Some scientists who released their  raw data, have seen it  &#8220;recalculated&#8221; in such a way as to reach  conclusions contrary to their findings, yet attributable to them.  Reputable journals will not publish the erroneous conclusions of  &#8220;recalculated&#8221; data , but some newspaper articles, blog sites, and even  Congressional hearings will use them to promote a controversy  manufactured by someone who actually did no research. And, once the  fallacy is &#8220;out there&#8221;, it is hard to correct.</p>
<p>Certainly, the public has a right to openness in public funded  research. Much of the scientific debate take place at scientific meetings and those wishing to hear the research debated may attend . The FOIA Gatekeeper has an important role to see  that the FOIA requests are valid, that scientists are not harassed, and  that those who wish to use the data for unscientific, or even malevolent  purposes, do not have easy access to the data.  The next step for those  who do not like the Gatekeeper&#8217;s decision is to seek redress in the  courts &#8211; not by illegally hacking the researcher&#8217;s computers.</p>
<p>* The author considers those scientist who abandon the methodology,  ethics, and objectivity of science; especially for money, notoriety, or  political purposes, to be &#8220;ex-scientists&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>The Gulf Oil Disaster: Where Were the Engineers?</title>
		<link>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/06/04/the-deepwater-horizon-the-challenger-and-engineering-ethics/</link>
		<comments>http://jcmooreonline.com/2010/06/04/the-deepwater-horizon-the-challenger-and-engineering-ethics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Jun 2010 02:30:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Challenger Disaster was caused by an engineering ethics failure. Where were  the engineers when the key decisions were made that led to the Deepwater Horizon disaster?]]></description>
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<p><strong>Where were the engineers?</strong> At the Deepwater Horizon , a number of key decisions may have led to the disaster and affected the outcome. The role of the management in the  decisions was to make a profit for the company and to weigh the benefits  and risk against the costs. The most important responsibility  of the  engineers in performing their duties, according to Engineering Code of  Ethics, was to</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8221;  Hold paramount the safety, health, and welfare of the  public.&#8221; (1)</p></blockquote>
<p>Questions that need to be answered as the investigation  continues are : Could the ignition sources for the explosion have been  avoided? Why were the workers quarters not explosion proof? Why did  Halliburton proceed with cementing the well when the results of the  pressure tests were inconclusive? Who made the disastrous decision to  replace the drilling mud with seawater? Why were problems with the  blowout preventer not addressed? Were early efforts directed at trying  to save the well or to prevent a major oil spill disaster? Obviously,  what has happened cannot be changed but, as the investigation into the  cause continues, it is important to know who answered those key  questions and why they were answered the way they were.  When those key  decisions were made, where were the engineers?</p>
<p><strong>The Challenger, A Different Disaster.</strong> One of the most studied  disasters is that of the Challenger Space Shuttle. (2) Most people think  that an engineering failure led to the disaster, but in fact, it was a  failure of ethics. One difficult problem in the design of the space  shuttle was how to transport the large fuel tanks to the launch site.   Morton Thiokol won the contract by designing fuel tanks that could be  transported to the site in sections and sealed back together with rubber  O-rings. The O-rings were effective down to 40°F, but below that, the  rubber stiffens and its ability to seal the tanks had not been tested.</p>
<p>The January 1986 Challenger launch was to carry Christa McAuliffe,  the teacher the year, into space.  The weather had been cool and  uncooperative in Florida that January and there had been several delays  in the launch. President Reagan was planning to include the education  aspect of the shuttle launch in his State of the Union speech and, for  that and other reasons, pressure was building on the shuttle team to  proceed with the launch.  However, the temperature was predicted to be  29°F on the morning of January 28 and the engineers strongly recommended  against the launch. The decision whether to launch was the  responsibility of Bob Lund, the vice president of engineering for Morton  Thiokol. On the advice of his engineers, he recommended against the  launch.</p>
<p>However, Jerald Mason, the general manager of Morton Thiokol, called a  meeting to discuss the decision. He asked Bob Lund to &#8220;Take off your  engineering hat and put on your management hat.&#8221;  He was asking Lund, in  effect, to put aside his engineering ethics and weigh the very unlikely  possibility of an accident against the public relations benefits of  launching on schedule. Apparently, that argument worked as Lund approved  the launch, despite the fact that the predicted launch temperature was  outside of the operational specifications. At 59 seconds into the  launch, the O-rings failed and the rocket exploded, plunging the  Challenger into the ocean and killing all seven astronauts.  It was the  worst disaster in the U.S. space program&#8217;s history.</p>
<p><strong>&#8220;Hold paramount the safety, health, and welfare of the  public.&#8221; </strong>In our increasingly technical and complicated world,  we often use products and devices designed by engineers. The public,  you, me and everyone else, must trust our safety to the engineers who  design, test, and make decisions about those products.  Engineering  schools now include the study of professional ethics in the curriculum  and try to convey to students their importance. However, in some  instances, engineers do not follow their ethical code because of  financial rewards, job security issues, peer pressure, or company  loyalty. Often, small ethical violations go unnoticed and unreported  unless, or until, they grow into a major problem.  Many violations are  only discovered and investigated when they lead to a public relations  fiasco, a death, a lawsuit, or a major disaster. It is imperative that  engineers steadfastly hold paramount their duty to protect the public.  Engineers who violate their ethical code and managers who override the  engineer&#8217;s decisions on safety should be financially and criminally  liable for the disasters they cause.</p>
<p>(1) <a href="http://www.nspe.org/Ethics/CodeofEthics/index.html">http://www.nspe.org/Ethics/CodeofEthics/index.html</a></p>
<p>(2) <a href="http://ethics.tamu.edu/ethics/shuttle/shuttle1.htm">http://ethics.tamu.edu/ethics/shuttle/shuttle1.htm</a></p>
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